Monte Azul vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
59.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
AME
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
MON
33%
25%
42%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SEP
1 - 1
MON
34%
24%
42%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MON
3 - 1
AUD
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
MON
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
POR
0 - 0
PPE
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SCI
0 - 2
POR
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
POR
2 - 2
GRE
27%
26%
47%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 0
POR
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
POR
0 - 1
BAH
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |