Montdidier vs QRM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.2%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
83.2%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.4%
0-4
8.5%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.5%
0-5
5%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7%
0-6
2.5%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.3%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CAE
3 - 3
QUE
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
QUE
3 - 1
ROD
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
QUE
1 - 2
ANN
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
GUI
2 - 2
QUE
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
QUE
2 - 2
PAU
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |