Montceau vs Villefranche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+230%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
BEL
3 - 1
MON
39%
27%
34%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
MON
0 - 1
VES
59%
23%
18%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
FCM
5 - 2
MON
46%
26%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
MOA
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
RAO
1 - 1
MON
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Villefranche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 1
SPI
22%
24%
55%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
MOU
3 - 0
VIL
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
SAR
52%
23%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
VIL
4 - 0
BEL
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
VES
0 - 0
VIL
31%
27%
43%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |