Montceau vs Villefranche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+111%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
NAN
0 - 1
MON
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
MON
0 - 0
GRE
28%
27%
45%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MON
0 - 1
MOU
41%
27%
32%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
MON
2 - 3
RAO
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
MON
0 - 1
TRO
15%
22%
64%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Villefranche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
UJA
1 - 0
VIL
47%
25%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
JUR
2 - 1
VIL
39%
25%
35%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
VIL
4 - 4
NAN
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
SOC
61%
22%
16%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
PSG
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |