Montceau vs Troyes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.5%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
75.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+111%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
8º
14º
14º
0
7º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 66 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 48 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 46 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 41 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 41 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 41 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
|
14º
|
0 | 35 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 35 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 32 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 29 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 29 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 23 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 23 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
|
8º
|
6 | 22 |
14º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
7% | 79.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
87% | 14% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 0
MON
69%
17%
14%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MON
1 - 6
BFC
20%
22%
58%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
JUR
3 - 0
MON
77%
14%
8%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MON
0 - 1
DIJ
24%
23%
53%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FCG
2 - 1
MON
50%
21%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 2
RAC
17%
20%
63%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
REI
3 - 1
TRO
56%
22%
23%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TRO
2 - 1
RAO
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MET
3 - 1
TRO
35%
26%
40%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TRO
2 - 1
BEL
60%
22%
19%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |