Montceau vs Troyes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.5%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
75.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+230%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
5º
11º
9º
16
5º
14º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
27 | 60 |
1º
|
87% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 53 |
2º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 42 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 42 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
|
7º
|
16 | 39 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 38 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 34 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 33 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 33 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 32 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 31 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 24 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 23 |
13º
|
36% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 17 |
14º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
58% | 96% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
16% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
26% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 0
MON
69%
17%
14%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MON
1 - 6
BFC
20%
22%
58%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
JUR
3 - 0
MON
77%
14%
8%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MON
0 - 1
DIJ
24%
23%
53%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FCG
2 - 1
MON
50%
21%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Troyes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 2
RAC
17%
20%
63%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
REI
3 - 1
TRO
56%
22%
23%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TRO
2 - 1
RAO
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MET
3 - 1
TRO
35%
26%
40%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TRO
2 - 1
BEL
60%
22%
19%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |