Montceau vs Sochaux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
73.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2007 |
MON
2 - 1
NIC
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
GAZ
0 - 0
MON
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
MON
1 - 0
CAS
38%
26%
35%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 4
MON
27%
26%
48%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
MON
4 - 0
SAI
43%
26%
32%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Sochaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
LIL
2 - 0
SOC
47%
27%
26%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
SOC
1 - 1
NIC
57%
25%
18%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
TRO
0 - 1
SOC
32%
27%
41%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
SOC
4 - 2
TFC
56%
25%
19%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
GIR
2 - 0
SOC
45%
27%
28%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |