Montceau vs Sarre-Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
38.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+230%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
DRA
0 - 2
MON
48%
26%
26%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
SAI
53%
24%
23%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
OLY
3 - 2
MON
70%
17%
12%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
MON
0 - 2
JUR
43%
26%
32%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
AUX
2 - 0
MON
55%
23%
23%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sarre-Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SAI
2 - 1
SAR
22%
23%
55%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 2
JUR
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
LPV
1 - 1
SAR
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 1
GRE
34%
29%
37%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
MOA
2 - 0
SAR
34%
25%
42%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -2 |