Montceau vs Sarre-Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SPI
2 - 2
MON
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
MON
0 - 1
MOU
38%
27%
35%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 1
MON
49%
25%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
MON
3 - 0
BEL
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
JUR
0 - 0
MON
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sarre-Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SAR
0 - 3
RAO
28%
26%
47%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SPI
3 - 2
SAR
70%
18%
11%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SAI
0 - 1
SAR
37%
26%
38%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SAR
0 - 0
MOU
38%
27%
35%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
LYO
2 - 3
SAR
61%
22%
18%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +2 |