Montceau vs Saint-Étienne II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
30.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SOC
4 - 1
MON
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
MON
1 - 2
BEL
34%
26%
40%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MON
0 - 3
ASN
8%
18%
74%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
RAO
2 - 3
MON
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
MET
43%
26%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SAE
1 - 3
DRA
60%
22%
17%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
SAE
0 - 1
MOU
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
SOC
1 - 2
SAE
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SAE
4 - 2
BEL
31%
26%
43%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +3 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
RAO
3 - 0
SAE
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |