Montceau vs Pontarlier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
AUX
4 - 3
MON
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
MON
1 - 3
FCG
73%
17%
11%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
SOC
0 - 5
MON
24%
23%
52%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
MON
5 - 0
FCG
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
CSL
7 - 2
MON
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Pontarlier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
PON
4 - 2
BRC
61%
22%
17%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
JUR
1 - 1
PON
44%
23%
33%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
CON
4 - 0
PON
90%
8%
2%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
PON
1 - 3
FRE
7%
18%
75%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
PON
0 - 1
MAR
18%
24%
58%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |