Montceau vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.4%
Win probability
0.25
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.3%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
0.6%
3-2
0.1%
+1
3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
15.1%
81.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
20%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
21.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.2%
-2
25%
0-3
14.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
16.8%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
MON
3 - 2
VES
58%
20%
21%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2000 |
PSG
0 - 0
NAN
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2000 |
NAN
1 - 3
MET
52%
27%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2000 |
REN
0 - 0
NAN
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
CAR
1 - 4
NAN
2%
13%
85%
|
85 | 13 | 72 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
NAN
3 - 0
TRO
62%
23%
15%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |