Montceau vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
69.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.2%
0-2
15%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
MON
0 - 0
YZE
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 2
MON
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MON
1 - 5
SAR
36%
25%
39%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
DRA
0 - 2
MON
48%
26%
26%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
SAI
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
NIO
1 - 1
MET
33%
29%
38%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
MET
2 - 1
PFC
61%
24%
15%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
AJA
0 - 1
MET
31%
29%
41%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
MET
2 - 2
CLE
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 1
MET
37%
30%
33%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |