Montceau vs Grandvillars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
21.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
14º
13º
25
9º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
79% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
54% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
54% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
74% | |
|
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
74% | |
|
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SEL
2 - 0
MON
51%
23%
27%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 0
MON
54%
20%
25%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
MAC
25%
21%
54%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 1
MON
48%
23%
29%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MON
0 - 2
APO
55%
21%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Grandvillars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FCG
1 - 2
UNI
35%
22%
44%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 0
FCG
73%
16%
12%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FCG
0 - 1
MOR
48%
21%
30%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
APO
1 - 2
FCG
57%
21%
22%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PON
5 - 0
FCG
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |