Montceau vs ER Novillars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
8.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
MON
3 - 0
BRC
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
DIJ
3 - 1
MON
52%
22%
26%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
MON
2 - 0
SEL
81%
12%
7%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
MON
4 - 2
FCG
83%
11%
6%
|
28 | 6 | 22 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 0
MON
24%
21%
56%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
ER Novillars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
ERN
1 - 2
BRC
26%
21%
53%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
JUR
3 - 1
ERN
57%
20%
23%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ERN
1 - 3
SEN
37%
22%
41%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
PON
2 - 0
ERN
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
ERN
1 - 1
AUX
10%
15%
75%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | +2 |