Montceau vs Drancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
SAE
3 - 0
MON
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
SOC
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 0
MON
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
RAO
52%
24%
25%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
MET
0 - 0
MON
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
MOU
2 - 2
DRA
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
DRA
1 - 1
SAE
50%
26%
24%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
DRA
0 - 0
JUR
38%
27%
35%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SOC
1 - 3
DRA
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
DRA
1 - 1
BEL
25%
26%
49%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |