Montceau vs Girondins Bordeaux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.5%
Win probability
0.23
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
<0%
+2
0.3%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
0.6%
3-2
<0%
+1
3.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
<0%
0
16.5%
79.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
21.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
27%
0-2
21.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.2%
-2
24.9%
0-3
14.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.2%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
ETG
1 - 1
MON
76%
16%
8%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
PON
0 - 2
MON
44%
24%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
MON
1 - 0
LEP
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
FEI
1 - 2
MON
49%
23%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
ARL
1 - 0
MON
68%
20%
13%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Girondins Bordeaux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
GIR
0 - 1
LIL
42%
28%
30%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
LYO
1 - 2
GIR
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
GIR
3 - 3
NIO
74%
18%
9%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2007 |
REI
1 - 2
GIR
23%
29%
48%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
GIR
1 - 1
LOR
64%
22%
14%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |