Montceau vs Besancon FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
58.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
14º
13º
39
1º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
79% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
54% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
54% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
74% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
74% | |
|
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
JUR
3 - 0
MON
77%
14%
8%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MON
0 - 1
DIJ
24%
23%
53%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FCG
2 - 1
MON
50%
21%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
SEL
31%
24%
46%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MON
0 - 2
UNI
32%
22%
46%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Besancon FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
BFC
3 - 1
UNI
49%
22%
29%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MAC
1 - 1
BFC
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 1
BFC
27%
24%
49%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
APO
1 - 2
BFC
24%
22%
54%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BFC
4 - 1
QUE
88%
9%
3%
|
25 | 8 | 17 | 0 |