Montceau vs Auxerre II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
59.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+230%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
BFC
4 - 0
MON
52%
23%
26%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
BEL
3 - 0
MON
58%
23%
19%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
MON
5 - 2
ERN
79%
13%
8%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
MON
3 - 0
BRC
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
DIJ
3 - 1
MON
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Auxerre II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
AUX
1 - 0
JUR
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
SEN
1 - 5
AUX
15%
18%
68%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
AUX
2 - 0
PON
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
AUX
4 - 1
FCV
88%
9%
3%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
FCG
2 - 3
AUX
26%
24%
51%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |