Montceau vs Aubervilliers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+111%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
FCM
2 - 0
MON
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 0
MON
37%
24%
39%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
MON
0 - 0
FLE
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
MON
4 - 0
YZE
37%
27%
36%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +3 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
DRA
4 - 3
MON
39%
26%
36%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Aubervilliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
BEL
2 - 0
AUB
43%
27%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
AUB
2 - 1
DRA
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SAE
0 - 0
AUB
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
AUB
0 - 0
SOC
53%
25%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
AUB
2 - 1
MET
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |