Montceau vs Quetigny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
3.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-67%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
14º
13º
3
11º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
79% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
54% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
54% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
74% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
74% | |
|
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PON
0 - 1
MON
65%
20%
15%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MON
1 - 6
SOC
29%
25%
46%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FCG
1 - 1
MON
62%
21%
17%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
JUR
28%
24%
49%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
DIJ
2 - 0
MON
66%
20%
15%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Quetigny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
QUE
1 - 4
UNI
10%
15%
75%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MAC
8 - 0
QUE
90%
8%
3%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
QUE
3 - 4
MOR
14%
18%
68%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
PON
2 - 1
QUE
86%
10%
4%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
QUE
1 - 11
SOC
13%
20%
67%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | -1 |