Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 2-3
Montcada vs Algeciras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
46.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montcada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
MON
0 - 0
CDM
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
MHN
2 - 0
MON
75%
17%
8%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
OLO
1 - 2
MON
58%
22%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +2 |
| 31 May. 1970 |
MON
1 - 4
CAL
21%
24%
55%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -2 |
| 24 May. 1970 |
STB
2 - 1
MON
68%
19%
13%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
UES
1 - 0
ALG
75%
19%
7%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1977 |
ALG
3 - 0
LIN
55%
28%
17%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Jun. 1977 |
ALG
1 - 0
SEV
65%
23%
11%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1977 |
POR
1 - 0
ALG
58%
27%
15%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
ALG
2 - 1
SFE
64%
23%
12%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |