Montañeses vs Tapachula FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1108%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
1º
8º
8º
10
9º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 16 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 16 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montañeses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
IPC
1 - 1
MON
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
CFT
76%
16%
9%
|
52 | 10 | 42 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
RVC
2 - 0
MON
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
CDC
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
MON
14%
20%
66%
|
52 | 19 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Tapachula FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
TCS
0 - 1
JAG
19%
25%
56%
|
8 | 75 | 67 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ZIT
1 - 1
TCS
79%
14%
7%
|
7 | 48 | 41 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
TCS
0 - 3
PDC
15%
21%
65%
|
7 | 52 | 45 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
DEV
2 - 1
TCS
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 42 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
IPC
3 - 0
TCS
79%
14%
8%
|
8 | 58 | 50 | -1 |