Montañeses vs Leviatán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
12%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
4.2%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
2º
6º
5º
7
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
22 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
23 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 21 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
20 | 19 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
18 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
7 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 0 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montañeses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
PAC
4 - 1
MON
49%
24%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
IPC
3 - 2
MON
65%
19%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
MER
29%
27%
44%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
RAF
1 - 7
MON
20%
23%
58%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
ESC
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Leviatán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
LEV
4 - 3
CAN
7%
13%
81%
|
17 | 45 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
LEV
0 - 5
MER
8%
19%
74%
|
17 | 59 | 42 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
RAF
0 - 2
LEV
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
LEV
1 - 4
ESC
7%
12%
82%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
YFC
2 - 0
LEV
90%
7%
3%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | 0 |