Montañeses vs CD Chilpancingo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
1º
5º
3º
2
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
5 | 23 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 23 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
4 | 21 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 20 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
|
9º
|
2 | 19 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 18 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 15 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 15 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 12 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 10 |
10º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 9 |
11º
|
30% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 6 |
12º
|
64.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
14.5% | 5.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
79% | 82% |
|
Mid-table
|
6.5% | 12.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montañeses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 2
MON
14%
20%
66%
|
50 | 18 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
AFC
78%
15%
8%
|
50 | 7 | 43 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
MON
4 - 5
ALE
17%
18%
65%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MON
0 - 4
ATL
13%
21%
66%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
IRA
18%
24%
58%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
CD Chilpancingo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 1
JAG
22%
26%
52%
|
45 | 74 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ZIT
0 - 0
CDC
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MAZ
2 - 2
CDC
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 2
CAA
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HUR
2 - 3
CDC
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |