Montañesa vs Tona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
43.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
8º
18º
18º
35
1º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 68 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
35 | 62 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 53 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 49 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 49 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 48 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 42 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 42 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 41 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 40 |
14º
|
8.5% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 38 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 35 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 31 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
17 | 29 |
18º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 11.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 78% |
|
Mid-table
|
21.5% | 10.5% |
|
Relegation
|
78.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montañesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
BAD
1 - 0
MON
58%
23%
19%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
OLO
3 - 0
MON
75%
17%
8%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MON
3 - 2
MOL
40%
26%
35%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
HOS
4 - 0
MON
70%
19%
11%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
CAS
52%
24%
23%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TON
1 - 2
TER
12%
19%
69%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BAD
3 - 0
TON
45%
25%
30%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
TON
2 - 2
RCD
13%
19%
68%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
TON
43%
26%
32%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
TON
2 - 2
CFR
49%
22%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |