Montañesa vs Tona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
43.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
15º
18º
15º
6
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
4 | 70 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
6 | 63 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 61 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 61 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 59 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 59 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 58 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 51 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 50 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 46 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 44 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 43 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 39 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 38 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
0 | 31 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 30 |
16º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 27 |
17º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 22 |
18º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 13.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 53% |
|
Mid-table
|
45% | 32% |
|
Relegation
|
54% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montañesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
BAD
1 - 0
MON
58%
23%
19%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
OLO
3 - 0
MON
75%
17%
8%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MON
3 - 2
MOL
40%
26%
35%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
HOS
4 - 0
MON
70%
19%
11%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MON
1 - 0
CAS
52%
24%
23%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TON
1 - 2
TER
12%
19%
69%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BAD
3 - 0
TON
45%
25%
30%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
TON
2 - 2
RCD
13%
19%
68%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
TON
43%
26%
32%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
TON
2 - 2
CFR
49%
22%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |