Montañeros vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
55.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.4%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montañeros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
ZAM
3 - 0
MON
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
MON
0 - 0
HEL
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
HEL
1 - 0
MON
32%
24%
45%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
SOM
0 - 1
MON
25%
24%
51%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
MON
3 - 0
CDO
42%
26%
33%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
RCF
1 - 2
PON
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
RCF
0 - 1
RAC
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
DEP
3 - 0
RCF
26%
28%
47%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
RCF
1 - 0
PON
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CEL
0 - 0
RCF
43%
26%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |