Montañeros vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
57%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montañeros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
COM
1 - 1
MON
63%
22%
16%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
RCF
19%
26%
56%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
ZAM
3 - 0
MON
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
MON
0 - 0
HEL
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
HEL
1 - 0
MON
32%
24%
45%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
LUG
0 - 0
PON
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
CFP
1 - 1
LUG
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
LUG
1 - 1
MIR
62%
22%
17%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
LUG
4 - 0
MAR
71%
19%
11%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
SPB
2 - 1
LUG
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |