Montañeros vs Celta Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montañeros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
ULP
0 - 4
MON
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
COX
43%
27%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
RMC
6 - 0
MON
75%
16%
10%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
MON
0 - 1
RVB
46%
27%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CDB
1 - 1
MON
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
CEL
2 - 3
VEC
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 0
CEL
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CEL
0 - 4
GUA
32%
29%
40%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LEG
2 - 1
CEL
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CEL
0 - 0
ALC
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |