Montañeros vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
44.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montañeros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
EIB
1 - 0
MON
73%
18%
9%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
MON
1 - 2
LUG
19%
24%
57%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
COM
1 - 1
MON
63%
22%
16%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
RCF
19%
26%
56%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
ZAM
3 - 0
MON
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 1
PON
26%
29%
45%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
CFP
1 - 1
BAR
38%
30%
32%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 0
MIR
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SES
1 - 0
BAR
45%
30%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
BAR
3 - 2
ATH
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |