Montalegre vs Vitória SC B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
49.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
6º
12º
11º
12
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
REB
0 - 5
MON
29%
22%
49%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
MON
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MON
0 - 2
FEL
22%
22%
56%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ANA
4 - 2
MON
56%
23%
21%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
MON
0 - 2
CHA
6%
16%
79%
|
32 | 70 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória SC B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
VSC
0 - 1
PAR
40%
28%
33%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 1
VSC
44%
26%
31%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
VSC
0 - 2
CAN
63%
22%
16%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 1
VSC
83%
12%
4%
|
40 | 70 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
VSC
6 - 5
SAN
8%
17%
75%
|
40 | 75 | 35 | 0 |