Montalegre vs Vilaverdense FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
GFC
3 - 2
MON
80%
14%
6%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MON
2 - 3
PED
63%
19%
19%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
SMA
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 1
MON
34%
23%
43%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
MIR
92%
6%
2%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Vilaverdense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 2
FEL
36%
25%
39%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 3
TAI
81%
12%
7%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
MIR
2 - 1
VIL
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 2
MER
48%
25%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
VIZ
6 - 0
VIL
59%
24%
18%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |