Montalegre vs Sporting Braga II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
57%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
6º
12º
11º
35
4º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 1
MON
49%
25%
25%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
CAN
46%
25%
30%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
MON
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
VAR
14%
24%
62%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 0
MON
44%
25%
32%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 1
SAN
58%
23%
20%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
FEL
1 - 3
BRA
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BRA
4 - 1
ANA
67%
18%
15%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
FAF
1 - 4
BRA
26%
23%
51%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
BRA
3 - 0
VSC
74%
15%
11%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |