Montalegre vs AR São Martinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 0
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MON
2 - 0
MER
33%
26%
42%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +3 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
ADO
0 - 0
MON
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
BRA
67%
17%
16%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ATA
2 - 2
MON
23%
22%
55%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
AR São Martinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
SMA
0 - 0
TOR
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
FAF
3 - 2
SMA
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SMA
4 - 2
MON
81%
12%
7%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MIR
1 - 0
SMA
33%
27%
41%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SMA
1 - 0
ARO
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |