Montalegre vs RD Agueda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
TAI
86%
9%
4%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
VIZ
3 - 0
MON
77%
16%
7%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
PED
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ADO
1 - 2
MON
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MON
2 - 1
ORI
23%
24%
53%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
RD Agueda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CES
2 - 2
RDA
55%
24%
20%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
RDA
3 - 3
GAF
33%
28%
39%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LUS
2 - 0
RDA
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
RDA
1 - 0
PAR
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
RDA
1 - 0
LOU
33%
28%
40%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |