Montalegre vs Ponte da Barca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
12.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MER
1 - 0
MON
68%
17%
15%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
OSL
1 - 2
MON
51%
23%
27%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
VIL
23%
25%
52%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | +3 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ADO
2 - 0
MON
77%
16%
7%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
TOR
39%
23%
38%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte da Barca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
PON
2 - 1
BRA
10%
16%
75%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
PON
0 - 0
MIR
18%
21%
61%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
PED
4 - 2
PON
75%
16%
9%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MER
5 - 0
PON
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
PON
3 - 3
OSL
14%
18%
68%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +1 |