Montalegre vs Marinhense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
SMA
18%
24%
59%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CER
0 - 3
MON
24%
21%
55%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
CER
61%
19%
20%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
BSC
43%
22%
35%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 1
MON
41%
24%
36%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Marinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
OLE
4 - 0
MAR
55%
23%
23%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 2
IDE
35%
25%
40%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 0
FAT
33%
23%
44%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
CON
3 - 3
MAR
17%
19%
64%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 2
SER
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |