Montalegre vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
46.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
PEV
1 - 1
MON
34%
23%
44%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
FEL
3 - 1
MON
69%
19%
12%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
MON
0 - 2
CAN
33%
28%
39%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
FAF
2 - 2
MON
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
MON
0 - 1
SAO
30%
26%
44%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
LUS
2 - 0
VSC
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 1
OLI
19%
23%
58%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 1
LUS
57%
23%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
PEV
0 - 1
LUS
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
LUS
2 - 0
FEL
35%
26%
40%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |