Montalegre vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
49.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
MON
2 - 2
MAR
80%
13%
7%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
TRO
2 - 0
MON
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2018 |
MON
0 - 1
SLB
5%
13%
82%
|
39 | 84 | 45 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
FEL
0 - 1
MON
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
MON
0 - 1
MIR
43%
26%
31%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
VIZ
1 - 2
FAF
59%
24%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
FAF
2 - 0
MIR
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
MER
0 - 0
FAF
31%
27%
43%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
FAF
2 - 0
PED
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
TAI
0 - 2
FAF
10%
21%
70%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | 0 |