Montalegre vs Dumiense FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
25.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
10º
10º
35
6º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MON
4 - 2
OSA
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
MON
22%
22%
57%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MON
0 - 0
RIB
45%
22%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
FCP
4 - 0
MON
91%
7%
1%
|
37 | 88 | 51 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
OSL
2 - 3
MON
38%
24%
38%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Dumiense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 0
DUM
29%
23%
48%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
DUM
3 - 2
POR
56%
20%
24%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 1
DUM
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SCP
8 - 0
DUM
97%
3%
0%
|
33 | 88 | 55 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
DUM
0 - 5
CAM
36%
26%
39%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -2 |