Montalegre vs Cerveira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
14.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
BSC
1 - 3
MON
64%
18%
18%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MON
1 - 0
BRA
69%
18%
14%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ADO
1 - 1
MON
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
FAF
2 - 1
MON
81%
14%
5%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
MON
0 - 1
UNM
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cerveira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CER
1 - 3
MER
24%
22%
55%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CAM
0 - 2
CER
20%
20%
60%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CER
2 - 1
SMA
10%
20%
70%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | +4 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
UNM
4 - 0
CER
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
CER
2 - 2
BRA
31%
23%
46%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |