Montalegre vs Vila Cortez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
17%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
MON
0 - 2
MIR
58%
22%
21%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 2
MON
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
PED
0 - 0
MON
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MER
1 - 1
MON
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MON
0 - 0
MIR
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Cortez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
5 - 0
VCO
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
AGU
1 - 4
VCO
38%
23%
39%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
VCO
2 - 1
RDA
13%
19%
68%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | +3 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
VCO
0 - 3
GIN
76%
14%
10%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
VCO
2 - 4
FCC
38%
24%
38%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |