Montalegre vs Arões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.3%
5.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
VIZ
2 - 0
MON
68%
20%
12%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
MON
2 - 1
SMA
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 0
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MON
2 - 0
MER
33%
26%
42%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +3 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
ADO
0 - 0
MON
53%
24%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ARO
0 - 2
TOR
38%
24%
38%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
FAF
1 - 0
ARO
84%
12%
4%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ARO
1 - 1
MON
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MIR
2 - 1
ARO
72%
17%
11%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
PED
2 - 0
ARO
65%
20%
16%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |