CD Montalbeño vs Villafranca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Montalbeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ATC
2 - 1
MON
25%
22%
53%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
REC
2 - 4
MON
56%
21%
23%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
CCS
56%
21%
24%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
COS
3 - 3
MON
56%
21%
23%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
PEN
26%
24%
50%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Villafranca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 3
CCS
59%
19%
22%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
COS
1 - 2
VIL
56%
21%
23%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 4
PEN
35%
24%
42%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 0
VIL
64%
19%
17%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 2
VIL
26%
21%
53%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |