Montagnarde vs Saint-Pierre Milizac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
65.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
5º
14º
14º
46
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
78.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
80% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
67% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montagnarde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CES
5 - 0
MON
57%
21%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
USF
24%
24%
53%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
BRE
38%
24%
38%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SBR
3 - 0
MON
64%
19%
17%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
LOC
27%
24%
50%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Pierre Milizac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SPM
3 - 1
BRE
68%
18%
15%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SBR
0 - 2
SPM
36%
22%
42%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SPM
0 - 0
LOC
52%
21%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PLA
1 - 1
SPM
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SPM
2 - 1
DOL
77%
14%
9%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |