Montagnarde vs Pontivy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montagnarde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2002 |
MON
0 - 1
MON
3%
11%
86%
|
28 | 87 | 59 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2002 |
MON
4 - 2
LRO
28%
23%
49%
|
26 | 55 | 29 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
MON
2 - 1
CAE
20%
22%
57%
|
24 | 65 | 41 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
LCF
3 - 0
MON
58%
21%
21%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
MON
0 - 2
FCR
25%
24%
50%
|
26 | 60 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
PON
0 - 4
MON
8%
17%
76%
|
38 | 90 | 52 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
PON
2 - 1
VAL
26%
24%
51%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
PON
1 - 0
BRE
9%
18%
73%
|
35 | 75 | 40 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 1996 |
PON
0 - 2
MAR
8%
17%
76%
|
35 | 87 | 52 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
PON
2 - 0
TRE
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +3 |