Montagnarde vs Plabennec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
56.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
5º
14º
14º
27
5º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
78.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
80% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
67% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 20% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 80% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montagnarde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
DOL
1 - 0
MON
40%
23%
37%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
LAT
31%
25%
44%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LAN
4 - 1
MON
67%
19%
15%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
VIT
13%
19%
68%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
PON
0 - 3
MON
57%
22%
20%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
PLA
3 - 7
BRE
63%
20%
18%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SBR
1 - 0
PLA
24%
21%
55%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 1
LOC
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PLA
2 - 2
USF
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
DOL
0 - 3
PLA
18%
19%
63%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |