Montagnarde vs Guichen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
6.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montagnarde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CON
0 - 3
MON
31%
23%
46%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
MON
1 - 2
PLA
18%
23%
59%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
MON
0 - 3
GRA
18%
23%
59%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -4 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 1
MON
11%
18%
71%
|
28 | 7 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
MON
0 - 3
BRE
12%
24%
65%
|
29 | 66 | 37 | -1 |
Matches
Guichen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
GUI
1 - 0
ERG
82%
11%
6%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
PON
0 - 1
GUI
87%
9%
4%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
GUI
0 - 1
PLA
16%
20%
64%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 2
GUI
20%
21%
58%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |