Montagnarde vs Drancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
49.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montagnarde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
MON
3 - 1
PON
36%
26%
37%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
MON
1 - 0
DIN
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
LAN
0 - 3
MON
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
MON
1 - 0
BRE
33%
25%
42%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
SAI
1 - 0
MON
64%
21%
15%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
DRA
0 - 0
VIL
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
CAB
1 - 0
DRA
65%
20%
16%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
DRA
1 - 0
LIL
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
COM
2 - 1
DRA
44%
25%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
DRA
4 - 0
SEN
41%
27%
32%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |