Montagnarde vs Concarneau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montagnarde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 0
MON
50%
26%
24%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
MON
2 - 2
DIV
59%
21%
19%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
LAV
2 - 0
MON
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
MON
2 - 0
BON
79%
14%
7%
|
39 | 14 | 25 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
LOR
0 - 5
MON
47%
25%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
CON
2 - 0
AVR
38%
25%
38%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 1
CON
55%
24%
21%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
FLE
1 - 0
CON
22%
26%
53%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
CON
1 - 0
MON
49%
24%
28%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CON
0 - 1
CAR
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |