Montagnarde vs Cesson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
45.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
5º
14º
14º
30
4º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
51% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
8º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 31 |
9º
|
78.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
80% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
67% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
66% | |
|
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
66% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montagnarde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
USF
2 - 1
MON
77%
15%
9%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PLA
3 - 1
MON
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MON
4 - 1
DOL
47%
22%
31%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LAT
1 - 0
MON
67%
19%
14%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MON
0 - 3
LAN
41%
24%
35%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cesson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CES
0 - 1
BRE
49%
21%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
DOL
1 - 0
CES
23%
20%
57%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CES
2 - 0
LAT
40%
23%
38%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
LAN
3 - 1
CES
40%
22%
38%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CES
2 - 1
VIT
23%
21%
56%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +2 |